Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.069847 0.077336 0.085551 0.095277 0.106536 0.119231 0.134731
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.058627 0.068777 0.080825 0.096368 0.116171 0.140952 0.174956
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.050480 0.061845 0.076175 0.095970 0.123271 0.160662 0.217758
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045191 0.057352 0.073467 0.097059 0.131949 0.183859 0.271732
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041202 0.053838 0.071299 0.098172 0.140460 0.208361 0.335356
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037970 0.050856 0.069309 0.098980 0.148345 0.233433 0.408791
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.035096 0.047993 0.067029 0.098823 0.154400 0.256613 0.487757
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.032429 0.045123 0.064344 0.097505 0.158034 0.276041 0.567182
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.030852 0.043713 0.063718 0.099452 0.167828 0.310160 0.699073
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.028790 0.041350 0.061289 0.097864 0.170480 0.329799 0.804039
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027447 0.039997 0.060360 0.098810 0.178336 0.363554 0.973824
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025970 0.038302 0.058676 0.098098 0.182532 0.389767 1.139280
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.024927 0.037260 0.058057 0.099430 0.191712 0.432783 1.412260
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023948 0.036250 0.057398 0.100603 0.200849 0.479603 1.760468
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022834 0.034927 0.056052 0.100188 0.206122 0.517347 2.120710
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022027 0.034074 0.055489 0.101344 0.215633 0.573194 2.688977
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021289 0.033287 0.054973 0.102525 0.225523 0.635614 3.453916
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020571 0.032483 0.054351 0.103382 0.234770 0.701054 4.451436
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019794 0.031521 0.053340 0.103216 0.241102 0.758894 5.610573
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018945 0.030379 0.051880 0.101819 0.243502 0.801754 6.810198
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018511 0.029973 0.051864 0.103882 0.257156 0.906223 9.657563
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017742 0.028895 0.050396 0.102200 0.258425 0.950746 11.843825
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017274 0.028362 0.050013 0.103203 0.268982 1.053864 16.833262